Seasonal Rankings Update

Now including Redraft (FFPC)

Hello, this is a brief post to let you know that I’ve updated the google sheet to now reflect both Best Ball and Redraft Rankings, updated as of July 31, 2023.

The Best Ball rankings are made with Underdog tournament drafting in mind, while the Redraft rankings are tailored toward the FFPC Main Event and other associated tournaments.

The FFPC format is Single-Quarterback, Full-PPR, 2RB, 2WR, 2Flex, 1TE with a 0.5 point TE Premium, and 0.5 points per passing yard (instead of the typical 0.4). A

s well, the prize distribution for FFPC tournaments includes both a ‘league’ prize (based on Weeks 1-12 and league playoffs in Weeks 13-14) and a ‘shootout’ grand prize for advancing teams in Weeks 15-17. Therefore, I have tried to weight rookies and late-season breakout profiles more heavily than perhaps you would draft for a typical 12-person draft. However, I would argue that especially past the first few rounds, the shallower your redraft league is the more you should be swinging for the fence anyhow rather than pursuing early season projectable points.

Feel free to adjust these rankings inter-positionally to adjust to your settings and league economy.

Another major difference in these rankings from my underdog rankings is that I care far less about ADP. To be clear, I don’t recommend reaching multiple rounds past ADP to draft a player you are likely to be able to acquire a round later. But I estimate your redraft portfolio (on FFPC or otherwise) is far smaller than that of portfolio Best Ball drafters. Therefore, I am less worried about ‘exposure management’ and more concerned with ensuring exposure to each of my targets in redraft.

For example: if I was drafting just one team (in any format), I prefer Jaxon Smith-Njigba to Chris Godwin. But I definitely don’t feel confident in that stance enough to want 20-percent exposure to Smith-Njigba and 0-percent Godwin across 500 best ball teams. For one FFPC team however, I have no concern reaching well ahead of a player’s ADP and projection to secure top breakout options in strong offensive environments in the middle rounds.

My last note is that when you are drafting in any managed league format, be it the FFPC main event or your work league, you should largely ignore any element of a player’s range of outcomes that dips below their utility in your starting lineup.

For example, Alec Pierce has considerable appeal to me in best ball because he combines a high route participation projection with a high ADOT and youth. As a best ball WR6-7, Pierce is an ideal choice to offer weekly upside and a reasonable floor for his season-long role that precludes him from being a dead roster spot. But much of that appeal exists in a world where he averages 7-10 PPG over the course of the season. In a managed league, this chunk of his range of outcomes is largely irrelevant since it falls below that of a replacement level starter, and therefore I’d much rather draft contingent value RBs or receivers with shakier floors but superior offensive environments.

That’s all for now — I will be back with a couple written columns this week!

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