Season's Eve AMA
That means Ask Me Anything
Hey folks,
I’ve wrapped up all my pre-season content and from this point forward I’ll be writing the in-season hitchhiker’s guide + some long form stuff on dynasty strategy as it arises.
For now, I’m headed off to Vegas to draft a couple final teams in the Main Event, but this Saturday I will post some season’s eve responses to ALL of your questions.
If you have a question, post it here. It can be about best ball, dynasty, redraft, DFS, music, politics, my life outside of fantasy, doing content and what it’s like… really whatever. If anything is Best Ball Brunch level inappropriate I won’t answer but otherwise everything is fair game.
Looking forward to getting to these on the flight home Saturday!
Thank you again for an incredible first off-season with Thinking About Thinking.
Best, Jakob
It seems like analysts (including you) often discuss paths to elite ceilings. Two of the most common examples of this are:
1. Teammates getting hurt and leading to more targets (example: 49ers if Kittle goes down)
2. A team’s offense being much better than expected (example: if the Bears or Falcons are elite offenses this year, or the eagles last year).
Do you have historical data to determine outcome is more likely to hit?
I know this is very team dependent (Eagles last year was a team you anticipated, vs the Bears being unlikely this year), but I’m curious if anyone has done analysis about the best bets to make vs the market in reaching an elite ceiling.
I would imagine we could put more tangible ranges of probabilities on these ceilings being reached. I appreciate any thoughts you have!
What is your content going to look like during the season? Will there be a focus on waiver wire? Outperformers/underperformers relative to their underlying peripherals? What KPIs are you going to most focused on? I think a weekly updated Rest of Season valuation ranking would be useful.