It seems like analysts (including you) often discuss paths to elite ceilings. Two of the most common examples of this are:
1. Teammates getting hurt and leading to more targets (example: 49ers if Kittle goes down)
2. A team’s offense being much better than expected (example: if the Bears or Falcons are elite offenses this year, or the eagles last year).
Do you have historical data to determine outcome is more likely to hit?
I know this is very team dependent (Eagles last year was a team you anticipated, vs the Bears being unlikely this year), but I’m curious if anyone has done analysis about the best bets to make vs the market in reaching an elite ceiling.
I would imagine we could put more tangible ranges of probabilities on these ceilings being reached. I appreciate any thoughts you have!
What is your content going to look like during the season? Will there be a focus on waiver wire? Outperformers/underperformers relative to their underlying peripherals? What KPIs are you going to most focused on? I think a weekly updated Rest of Season valuation ranking would be useful.
When filling out the end of your dynasty rosters, especially in deep leagues, what types of players do you prioritize keeping? Is it better to focus on streaming RB types, young backup QBs, young WRs, etc?
How have you managed to balance writing and content production with your career/graduate school? I have been slated to do some writing for *our* Tennessee football volunteers, but have found this incredibly difficult when trying to balance with graduate school applications and other school obligations.
3 years ago, when I started playing dynasty it felt very much as though the meta was extremely RB heavy, with very few QBs going early. This offseason the opposite is true, and it’s never been harder to trade for QB, especially elite ones.
Firstly, I get the impression that you feel the general weighting of positions with respect to one another is not just better, but perhaps close to optimal - is that correct, or do you still feel the market has somewhere to move that would be better at from a high level position perspective?
Secondly, if you cast your mind to the future (next offseason, 3 years hence, whatever your preference) what would you predict the ‘next’ meta will be? We see shifts over time and so I personally can’t see that QBs will always be so highly valued (even if perhaps they should be), but what’s your take on this?
I drafted Kupp and JT in my 14man league so I'm struggling for starts on my roster. 0.5 PPR how would you rank these players for my flex2. Mingo, J. Reed, Z. Moss. I have Moss on my bench and am deciding to pick up J. Reed or not.
What originally got you into following politics and has it always been from the leftist perspective? Sorry politics nerd who loves to hear people w same perspective talk about it
You seem like you massively shifted your expectation of JT playing after he stayed on PUP. Would you be trying to tier down to your other RB buys (eg Jacobs+, Rhamondre++) on a contender or just riding it out?
Thoughts on swapping same year future firsts as a throw in for a trade? Seems to be a great source of advantage if you can identify an overconfident manager whose team is more likely to be poor, but you lose your tanking flexibility. Worth it?
what kind of law are you practicing? did you know that was what you wanted to do when you started law school or did you figure it out along the way? how do you like it?
It seems like analysts (including you) often discuss paths to elite ceilings. Two of the most common examples of this are:
1. Teammates getting hurt and leading to more targets (example: 49ers if Kittle goes down)
2. A team’s offense being much better than expected (example: if the Bears or Falcons are elite offenses this year, or the eagles last year).
Do you have historical data to determine outcome is more likely to hit?
I know this is very team dependent (Eagles last year was a team you anticipated, vs the Bears being unlikely this year), but I’m curious if anyone has done analysis about the best bets to make vs the market in reaching an elite ceiling.
I would imagine we could put more tangible ranges of probabilities on these ceilings being reached. I appreciate any thoughts you have!
What is your content going to look like during the season? Will there be a focus on waiver wire? Outperformers/underperformers relative to their underlying peripherals? What KPIs are you going to most focused on? I think a weekly updated Rest of Season valuation ranking would be useful.
When filling out the end of your dynasty rosters, especially in deep leagues, what types of players do you prioritize keeping? Is it better to focus on streaming RB types, young backup QBs, young WRs, etc?
How have you managed to balance writing and content production with your career/graduate school? I have been slated to do some writing for *our* Tennessee football volunteers, but have found this incredibly difficult when trying to balance with graduate school applications and other school obligations.
I have a lot of questions. Number one: How dare you?
3 years ago, when I started playing dynasty it felt very much as though the meta was extremely RB heavy, with very few QBs going early. This offseason the opposite is true, and it’s never been harder to trade for QB, especially elite ones.
Firstly, I get the impression that you feel the general weighting of positions with respect to one another is not just better, but perhaps close to optimal - is that correct, or do you still feel the market has somewhere to move that would be better at from a high level position perspective?
Secondly, if you cast your mind to the future (next offseason, 3 years hence, whatever your preference) what would you predict the ‘next’ meta will be? We see shifts over time and so I personally can’t see that QBs will always be so highly valued (even if perhaps they should be), but what’s your take on this?
I drafted Kupp and JT in my 14man league so I'm struggling for starts on my roster. 0.5 PPR how would you rank these players for my flex2. Mingo, J. Reed, Z. Moss. I have Moss on my bench and am deciding to pick up J. Reed or not.
0.5 PPR how would you rank these flex options for week 1? Breece Hall, Marvin Mims, Jayden Reed
I notice you are suggesting to move off of CMC. Would you do this as a contender, even a favorite? What kind of return would you look for?
Hey Jakob-
Jayden Reed is on the waiver wire. Should I drop Rashee Rice or Kendre Miller for him? Superflex 12 team half PPR. We start 2RB/2WR/2Flex
RBs: Henry, Hall, Swift, Achane, K Miller, Allgeier, and S Tucker
WR: Wilson, K Allen, London, JSN, Zay Flowers, and Rice.
I was hoping to get a look at Rice's usage tomorrow night but with Watson and Doubs missing practice I don't want to risk losing Reed to another team.
Thanks!
I'm nobody, but I would want Rice and Miller over Reed.
Just realized you said Saturday lol. Too late for me. Will probably drop Miller and hope to get him back if Rice is unimpressive
Need to start 3/5 week 1 half ppr🫡
Hall
Swift
Burks
E. Moore
QJ
What originally got you into following politics and has it always been from the leftist perspective? Sorry politics nerd who loves to hear people w same perspective talk about it
You seem like you massively shifted your expectation of JT playing after he stayed on PUP. Would you be trying to tier down to your other RB buys (eg Jacobs+, Rhamondre++) on a contender or just riding it out?
Or trying to pick him up? ;-)
Thoughts on swapping same year future firsts as a throw in for a trade? Seems to be a great source of advantage if you can identify an overconfident manager whose team is more likely to be poor, but you lose your tanking flexibility. Worth it?
Until it turns out you're the overconfident manager 🤣
If you're holding the bag on Swift in dynasty when is the right time to move him ? And what kind of RB are we shipping him off for ?
what kind of law are you practicing? did you know that was what you wanted to do when you started law school or did you figure it out along the way? how do you like it?